USDA planting report afterglow: Unless there are amazing discrepancies from the expectations, the market spends one day reacting, then we go back to business.
Grain markets are anxious to find out what the USDA Planting Intentions Report will have say how many corn and soybeans acres are expected for the 2014 growing year.
Both the bull action and the bear action in recent grain markets come from the Russian Bear.
All three major commodities on the Chicago Board of Trade have shown signs of an uptrend for a few weeks.
Even while we talk of the prospect of acres changing from corn to beans, in reality, the farmers have already ordered seed and made that decision.
Grain prices have slowly worked higher on the Chicago Board of Trade, but it remains to be seen if we can continue to firm up prices.
Corn has gotten back toward the top of the trading range it has been in for the last two months, but that is about it.
The long MLK weekend seemed to be an excuse for soybean speculators to rethink the bullishness that came out of the Jan. 10th USDA reports.
For the last couple of weeks I have been saying that only the March Planting Intentions Report from USDA can help this market. My idea has been that I don’t see bullish news anywhere on the horizon. But, I do think that farmers will like $13 soybeans better than $4 corn.
Grain market traders got evened up ahead of today’s USDA report.
Once again we can talk about the harvest low, except that we have to worry that the actual low is not in, and may not be seen until anticipation of the January Inventory Report by USDA.
The EPA is proposing a cut in what we refer to as the “ethanol mandate.” Although this is still a proposal, it hit the market like law.
The corn yields are surprising, and staying huge as the harvest goes on. Everyone’s waiting for USDA’s report Nov. 8.
One axiom in the grade trade is that big crops keep getting bigger. This does not necessarily mean that the crop improves, but that the reporting of the estimates of ultimate crop size changes. That is, each successive crop estimate gets bigger until we get to the January Inventory Report and the final reality puts […]
It should not surprise us that rainy weather has delayed harvest. It delayed planting, and cool weather did not allow the crop to catch up. So, here we are, absent government reports as USDA is catching up from the shutdown, and guessing just what has been harvested. Whatever it is, it is not enough. Making […]
The grain harvest delay has been the excuse needed to see prices perk up a little.
If the harvest is disappointing, we could see a rally into the late harvest. If not, we have not yet seen the low.
As corn prices have gone down, it has felt at times like we have left the slide completely and will fall to our financial deaths.
Two weeks from now we may know more about this grain market, but it may be too late. Catch this market while there is fear in it.
What exactly will happen with markets? Marlin Clark has a few insights…