The middle of March is a hard time to plan grain marketing. We are in the dark about actual planting plans, spring weather, and the results of the winter weather we are now experiencing.
The traveling experts are worried that we are going to raise a big crop and have $4.50 corn. The farmers don’t believe it.
USDA says we may plant 96 million acres of corn. They look for 76 million acres of soybeans, although there is some thinking that we could see as much as 79.75 million acres. Last year we planted 77.198 million.
Current U.S. grain market movement is in a trading range, and no progress is being made.
Regardless of USDA reports last Friday, we are trading this grain market as a short-crop year.
Grain prices are at or near lows on all three major commodities on the Chicago Board of Trade.
There are a lot of reasons grain markets have traded lower. Some are valid, some are the kind of reasons analysts give when they have to give reasons, says grain trader Marlin Clark.
The last line of that Zombies song from the dark ages of the ’60s is, “It’s the time of the season for loving.” That’s a good Christmas thought, and better than the one I had this morning, looking at prices. This morning it seems like it is the time of the season for losing money […]
Traders have focused on exports, transportation issues, South American weather, and politics as reasons for the decline in grain market prices.
Farmers, this is a grain market that wants your corn now, and will pay less for it in the future, unless the structure of the market changes.
Friday’s USDA report did not have a lot of news, but what it had caught the market leaning the wrong way. The result, eventually, was a changed landscape for the market the last few days. Soybeans USDA released the Supply and Demand Report Friday morning, and the result was a resounding “thud” in the soybean […]
With no news comes fickle markets subject to the whims of Chicago traders. Now is the time to forget the highs and remember the crops in eastern Ohio are better than expected, and the prices are still much higher than planned for at planting time.
In northeastern Ohio and western Pa., rain every third day slowed the soybean harvest so that many were still cutting beans at the end of October. Only the biggest and best-equipped got any significant corn off in October between the rains.
“My fear at this point would be that farmers would regret missing the high prices and wait for them to return.”
Long weekends make traders nervous. Anything can happen. Three days is too long to hold a position for some, so they buy back or sell back Friday, depending upon their position. Then, Tuesday, they get back in. Consequently, it is common to sell off a bullish market Friday, then buy it again Monday. The sell-off […]
The drought weather market of 2012 has continued, with emphasis shifting back to soybeans once again.
Grain price direction from here is not clear, but one thing we know. In short crop years, we make the high before harvest, then go lower. Grain merchandiser Marlin Clark explains more.
Maybe you can’t hear clearly, but if you shut off all machinery and stop the conversations within a few feet, it is possible. It is the sound of the fat lady singing. It sure feels tonight like the big rally of 2012 that left us thunderstruck with record corn and soybean prices is over. We […]
How bad is the current drought situation down on the farm? Things are so bad that analysts are now talking about 1956 instead of 1988.
Marlin Clark talks about how the weather is changing the crop market. He also discusses the drought of 1988.