When the weather broke, U.S. farmers did what they are good at doing, which is running day and night when they can, and sleeping next winter. The results were mixed, and a little confusing to the markets.
Crop progress? Good temperatures now will still give us a normal crop. This will mostly be true for next week, then we go downhill fast.
Continued rain across the Midwest dominates all thinking about marketing these days. There was virtually no progress in planting last week, and will be none expected this week.
Ahead of the USDA Prospective Plantings Report, we have estimates of large increases in corn acres and significant decreases in soybean acres.
So, last week I said the rally was over, but I still hadn’t heard the sounds of It’s Over!, my favorite Roy Orbison song. Then, the market sparked up again. So, now what do I write? That I was correct, because the market appeared to be over, but wasn’t? Or that I was wrong? Or, […]
Factors outside markets seemed to be helping grain prices: the weak dollar, the high crude price, the Libyan situation were all cited as reasons for high prices. And now, the focus of the world is on Japan and the catastrophe there.
Instead of grain marketing insight, Marlin Clark shares a different story this week — a story that is more important than the price of corn, and we’re privileged to share it.
Even one of the strongest of chart signals did not permanently break the corn rally last week. This market has not been shot, stabbed, or bludgeoned into submission so far. It has a life of its own, maybe helped by the outside markets. While petroleum futures were making a record one-day move in reaction to […]
The reality is that supply is going to get tighter as the market year goes on. This is driving corn prices toward the record highs of the 2008 year.
Not even Marvin Gaye can tell us what’s goin’ on in the grain markets these days.
Some corn, soybean, and wheat contracts made new highs once again on the Chicago Board of Trade, but significant losses overnight going into the Tuesday trading have the new highs standing out on the Board.
We wait with abated breath the results of USDA’s research to see if the trading of the last couple of months makes sense. Then, we anticipate the reaction to the reports.
Sell everything you own or have nerve to sell ahead in the next two weeks!
Six weeks ago, and a little more, we finally made the big highs in corn and soybeans. I had been impatient, had predicted highs several times, and was finally right. As prices broke there were, as usual, technicians who said there was still room on the chart for one more leg up. Leg up Then […]
Grain markets have stabilized on the Chicago Board of Trade in recent days. That is a nice way of saying that we have seen small gains after large losses, without a real sense of direction being established. Market moves December corn futures have retraced nearly a third of the large loss. We fell from the […]
We in the grain business are hanging on with both hands to the mechanical bull market. It goes up, it goes down, and it eventually throws you off on your face.
Grain markets continue to confound observers, as new highs keep flowing as combines keep rolling. Corn, soybeans and wheat have all made new highs or returned to the high in the case of wheat. This is happening even as we are finishing harvest, a time normally of declining prices. Take your pick of the reason. […]
Is grain market on a report-induced, blow-off high, or has the report just set off another leg of the rally?
The old gray mare, she ain’t what she used to be. You know the one — she galloped in and got you all excited about how fast she was, then ran out of steam. No, she looks like a nag you were a fool to bet the farm on. She looked like Secretariat’s great-granddaughter, but […]
One of our family stories involves number one son in a restaurant tasting his soup. The attractive girl going by our table was surprised to hear a 12-year old blurt out, “Whoa, Baby, Hot! Hot!” I thought of that yesterday as I watched the attractive corn prices go by my screen. I have to admit […]