Many questions remain as we approach the end of the crop year. Not the least of these is: What size crop do we have?
USDA will release the Supply and Demand Report Wednesday, and, as usual, it represents an untimely truth for this grain market columnist. I write this on Monday before the market opens, and the reader gets this Thursday, after the report and after some market reaction to it. The numbers Monday, the markets were sharply mixed, […]
For the first time in a long time, corn has had days as the leading grain on the Chicago Board of Trade. That is to say, some days the gains in corn were more than the gains in wheat or soybeans. Some days, the beans matched the corn, but with a higher-priced commodity where the […]
Tuesday’s market (June 30), we’re in a “hat rack” market — we’re looking look for some kind of market news to “hang our hat on.”
Prices have broken sharply on the Chicago Board of Trade the last few days. The perception of a good crop and outside markets continue to ravage what was a welcome rally. Monday trading was an example of how bad it gets when the speculators run out on the market. Soybeans were down 27 1/2 cents […]
Corn, beans and wheat have made new recent highs on the Chicago Board of Trade this week, but there is no surprise. Price discovery The same factors that have pushed prices the last month continue to effect the ideas in Chicago of price discovery. Price discovery is the term the grain trade uses for finding […]
Now is the spring of our discontent. Now, we are starting to talk about how dry it has gotten. Now, we are wishing we had not poked seed into mud that might crust over it.
I put in 750 miles in Ohio and Michigan over the weekend, and I was amazed how far behind we are in reality. Yes, the Planting Progress Report from USDA said Ohio, Indiana, and Illinois are the problem with the U.S. being so far behind, but looking at miles of northwest Ohio bare as far […]
The planets are aligning this morning in a manner that will be easier to interpret by the end of the day. Unfortunately, I have to write this on Tuesday morning, not Tuesday evening. The planets are aligning, or even colliding, in the form of the USDA Planting Progress Report, out Monday afternoon, and the USDA […]
Corn prices crashed on the Chicago Board of Trade the last week, even as soybeans tried to hang on to recent highs.
Grain markets have been monochromatic since the March 31 USDA Planting Intentions Report. This has been a soybean rally, primarily, and the last week in corn futures has reminded us that corn has just been along for the ride.
The USDA Prospective Plantings Report, followed by friendly export reports, have helped fuel some bullish enthusiasm for the grains.
Farmers who were waiting for the Prospective Plantings Report to help the corn pricing decision are not likely to be happy.
Andy Warhol said we would all have 15 minutes of fame. He owes me 13 and a half.
As we wait for the USDA Planting Intentions Report, which is due March 31, we are seeing bullish enthusiasm return to the markets.
The basic problem with writing a grain marketing column for (gulp) 22 years is that readers start to assume the writer knows something. The danger is actually that the writer starts to think he knows something.
We seem to be locked into trading ranges on the Chicago Board of Trade. In absence of news, the market cycles higher and lower, leaving few clues to assist our trading.
If there is one thing to talk about in the grain markets, it is volatility.
Prices crashed and burned Monday, and mostly are showing follow-through Tuesday. This is the biggest correction in a long time, and it is unwanted by anyone trying to buy grain or anyone trying to sell grain.
Everyone expects me to tell them the future of the grain markets, and the future is murky to me.