WEST LAFAYETTE, Ind. – Tourism, often touted as a recession-proof industry, could face hard times in the short term because of economic slowdown and high gas prices, say two Purdue University professors.
“Long-term, tourism is recession-proof, but in the shorter term some segments of the industry come out winners, while others are losers,” said Alastair M. Morrison, professor of hospitality and tourism management.
“High gas prices hurt destinations in the rubber-tire market,” he said. “This means not just car travel, but also coaches and buses that must pass along higher fuel costs to their customers.”
Affects family budget.
Liping A. Cai, associate professor of hospitality and tourism management, says transportation makes up 33 percent of the family travel budget, the largest single item.
Lodging is second at 29 percent, food 22 percent and recreation (tickets and admission fees) 16 percent.
Nationally, travelers spent $582 billion in 2000, according to the Travel Industry Association of America. Tourism employed 7.7 million people and generated $93 billion in tax revenues for government agencies.
Morrison said during the energy crisis in the early ’70s, people stayed closer to home and made more shorter trips.
The losers: “Theme parks, such as Disney World and Six Flags, got hammered in the energy crisis,” Morrison said. “Their growth now has leveled off anyway, so they could be hurt even worse this time around.”
The travel bottom line is that when times get hard, “people tend to postpone vacations, travel less and choose a different mode of transportation,” Morrison said.
Also negatively affected is the fledgling rural tourism industry that Purdue’s Tourism and Hospitality Research Center has supported with visitor profiles, economic impact research and marketing planning.
Communities in areas formerly dominated by agriculture and manufacturing in the ’80s adopted rural tourism as a quick fix for the economic void in more traditional areas.
For many states and communities, now is a crucial time for marketing local attractions, Morrison said.
“Tourism is a Rodney Dangerfield industry,” he said. “It gets trivialized and doesn’t get the funding it deserves.
“This is especially true in hard times, when money tends to be diverted to what are assumed to be more pressing economic development areas.”
Looking for deals.
Cai says generally when there are negatives to travel, people spend more time searching for information and good deals. The World Wide Web accentuates this tendency.
“There is a time and energy expenditure here that can deter travel,” Cai said. “With the Internet, this factor is not as significant as it was in the past, but it still has an important effect on seniors.
“Leisure travel is an opportunity to get away from daily life decisions. Decision making causes stress, and if people are worried about the costs of travel, they are liable to avoid making decisions altogether and just stay home and put more under the mattress for bad times.”
Morrison said another tourism trend in hard times is the increase in hybrid trips – tacking personal travel or visiting friends onto business trips.
The travel-sector winners in hard times? Air travel will generally increase, Cai said.
“If gas prices are $2 a gallon, that $289 airfare from Indianapolis to New York starts to look pretty good.”
Morrison said international travel to the United States is robust and growing. The United States receives the second most international travel in the world, trailing only France.
International travel is typically planned further ahead, and its clientele is a different demographic, older and less family-oriented than typical domestic travelers.
Travel to Europe this summer will be hurt by fears of foot-and-mouth disease, Morrison said.
Tours and cruises.
Another bad-times winner is the tour and cruise industry, Morrison and Cai say. Tours and cruises are perceived to be – and are – good values and tend to be booked many months in advance.
For the astute traveler, bad times can present good opportunities, said Morrison.
“If you do the research, there are more bargains at both hotels and attractions,” he said. “While in normal times the demand is too high in peak times to get reduced prices, in bad times even the peak season isn’t a peak.”
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Vacations you can afford
WEST LAFAYETTE, Ind. – Purdue’s Tourism and Hospitality Research Center offers the following tips to help make the most of travelers’ vacation and gasoline dollars:
* Get lost in your own backyard. Consider places close to home and take shorter, more frequent trips.
* Clock it carefully. Check your trip mileage using services like mapquest.com and others to find the shortest route to your destination.
* Lose the car. Try another mode of transportation; maybe you’ve always wanted to take a rail trip, or it might cost less to fly.
* Get more value for your travel dollar. Remember the value offered by vacation packages such as cruises.
* Last minute is not last place. Check out last-minute travel deals on the Web.
* Explore your world. Take that trip overseas that you’ve dreamed about forever.
* Join the club. Consider joining a vacation travel club for bargains.
* Your van always wanted to hit the tracks. Some trains will transport your car and save you the gas.
* You’ll never walk alone. Carpool with friends or relatives who are heading in the same direction; stay with friends and relatives en route when you can.
* Home is where the car is. Leave the car in the garage, break out the popcorn, and watch a great travel video of your destination.
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